Pattern recognition with measured ranges.

Bitcoin Market Monitor - A Responsible AI Dashboard

As of May 2, 2026, 07:09 UTC

Educational monitoring tool. Not financial advice. Historical similarity is not predictive.

Plain-English readout

Bitcoin monitoring snapshot

How to read this: Use ranges as context, not instructions.

Conditions over the last 24h look mid-volatility, range-bound (volatility 25th percentile, trend near its 24h average). The 10 most similar past windows occurred between Apr 9, 2026 and Apr 22, 2026. Over the 72h that followed those windows, returns ranged from -0.4% to +2.2% with a median of +0.5%. Today's hourly direction model leans unavailable (probability unavailable, F1 unavailable). This is a monitoring snapshot, not guidance.

Latest close

Bitcoin price context

How to read this: Tracks latest close and one-day move.

$78,316.53

+1.6% since the nearest hourly close one day earlier.

As of May 2, 2026, 07:09 UTC

Direction model

Hourly model lean unavailable

How to read this: Compare model lean with its test F1.

Bitcoin probability up: unavailable

Test-set F1: unavailable

Model artifact: stub

Tableau workbook

Bitcoin market view

How to read this: Use Tableau for visual market context.

Tableau workbook coming soon

Historical similarity

Bitcoin similar-window matches

How to read this: Lower distance means closer historical shape.

The 10 closest windows were followed by 72h returns from -0.4% to +2.2%, with a median of +0.5%.

Match startDistance1h return24h return72h return
Apr 17, 20260.175-0.5%-2.1%-0.3%
Apr 17, 20260.189-0.2%-1.3%+0.7%
Apr 22, 20260.195-0.3%-0.2%+0.5%
Apr 10, 20260.216+0.1%-1.9%+2.1%
Apr 9, 20260.216+0.2%+1.1%-1.6%
Apr 17, 20260.259+0.2%-0.6%+0.5%
Apr 17, 20260.262-0.2%-1.9%-0.3%
Apr 10, 20260.265-0.4%-2.5%+2.0%
Apr 10, 20260.268+0.3%-1.5%+2.8%
Apr 22, 20260.282-0.3%-0.5%+0.1%